ORLANDO, Fla. -- At this week's Gartner Symposium ITxpo, Gartner analyst David Cappuccio outlined his future predictions of technology trends and disruptions that will be affecting CIO decisions in the next five years. Unsurprisingly, data virtualization will play a big part in the IT services of 2017. Read the rest of Cappuccio's vision of the future of information technology.
- The Internet of things
Just as smartphones have become a part of life, the next steps are small, cheap smart devices, predicted Cappuccio. While this technology has been around for awhile -- manifesting in the GPS and cameras within smartphones -- this concept will be embedded in more places and objects. Expect consumers to be able to use near-field communications payments with their smartphones; image recognition to change how we identify people, places and logos; and sensors to become de rigeur, with hundreds of thousands of data points transmitted through magnetic fields over the Internet. Infrastructures and bandwidth will need to accommodate this increasing flow of data points.
- IT/OT and appliance madness
IT has always loved its appliances, but Cappuccio predicted this trend will increase as vendors offer cost-effective application solutions through hands-off appliances, including virtual appliances. "We see virtual appliances gaining popularity and fully expect to see a broad array of virtual appliance offerings emerge in the next five years," Cappuccio said.
More predictions from David Cappuccio
Gartner analyst David Cappuccio based his revolutionary predictions about the future of information technology on several defining factors in today's technology landscape. For example, check out these eye-opening future predictions from Gartner's top analysts:
- "Wearable smart electronics in shoes, "tattoos" and accessories emerges as a $10 billion industry by 2016."
- "Through 2014, employee-owned devices will be compromised by malware at more than double the rate of corporate-owned devices."
- "By 2017, 40% of enterprise contact information will have leaked into Facebook via employee mobile device collaboration appliances."
- Operational complexity
Every CIO can spot the complexity in their IT organization, but the trick is in preventing it from getting complicated. Historical evidence suggests that most IT organizations are only using one-fifth of the features in their installed systems, which introduces layers of complications that aren’t only not required, but are also a waste of expenditures. Cappuccio suggested this is driving IT debt and preventing CIOs from competing within the business. Cappuccio warned against exponentially increasing this complexity with increasing feature-rich virtual environments that will be available in the future.
- Virtual data centers
Cappuccio predicted that IT is entering the third phase of the ideal virtualized data center. "We will see more of the possibilities in the future where the 'fabric' will eventually have the intelligence to analyze its own properties against policy rules that create optimum paths, change them to match changing conditions, and do so without requiring laborious parameter adjustments."
- IT demand
Expect server loads to increase by 10% every year, which means the data center of today will be woefully underserved in the next few years. However, throwing more capacity at this demand isn't the answer, cautioned Cappuccio. "Optimize capacity in new ways -- data virtualization, deduplication, bandwidth prioritization schemes," he said.
As CIOs run toward the future of the data center, it will be critical to build a solid foundation to get ahead of the curve. Check out the rest of Cappuccio's future predictions, including big movement in disruptive innovation, big data and software defined networks.
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Wendy Schuchart, Site Editor asks:
Did Gartner get it right? Which of these predictions seem unlikely to you?
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